{"id":320,"date":"2017-10-23T02:08:00","date_gmt":"2017-10-23T02:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/?p=320"},"modified":"2020-11-17T03:42:20","modified_gmt":"2020-11-17T03:42:20","slug":"hedge-not-hedge","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/2017\/10\/23\/hedge-not-hedge\/","title":{"rendered":"To hedge or not to hedge?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-322 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/Currency-volatility-300x221.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"221\" \/><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">That is the question.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">What am I talking about?\u00a0 I\u2019m talking about whether or not the offshore investment assets you hold should be insured (or hedged) against a rise in the value of the New Zealand dollar.\u00a0 Your hedging strategy can make a significant difference to your investment returns.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">In an unhedged example, say you hold a US investment worth US$100 dollars which over a year goes up in value by 10% to US$110.\u00a0 But at the same time, the NZ dollar v the US dollar also appreciates by 10%.\u00a0 Your effective return in New Zealand dollar terms is zero!\u00a0 In other words the negative change in currency has offset the growth in your investment.\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">Of course it can go the other way too.\u00a0 In the same example, if the value of the New Zealand dollar depreciates against the US dollar by 10%, then the effective return in New Zealand dollar terms is 20% (10% investment return + 10% currency return)!<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">In other words, changes in currency can help or hinder the overall returns from your offshore investments, depending on which way the NZ dollar moves v the currency of the offshore investment.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">Hedging effectively removes the currency ups and downs by having insurance in place (often via futures contracts) that can be exercised if the New Zealand dollar does indeed increase in value.\u00a0 This effectively takes currency movements out of the equation, so that the returns you get in New Zealand dollar terms are the same as the returns from the investment in its local currency.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">Hedging does have a cost.\u00a0 For example, the popular Vanguard International Shares Select Exclusions fund offers a hedged and unhedged option for NZ investors, with management fees of 0.26% and 0.20% respectively.\u00a0 The difference in fee is entirely due to the costs of currency hedging.\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">So should you aim to have your international investments hedged or not?\u00a0 Opinion in the financial world is divided, but I won\u2019t sit on the fence.\u00a0 For international fixed interest investments, yes.\u00a0 For international equity or property investments, no. \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">Why? \u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">For international fixed interest investments (eg bonds\/bond funds), these fall into the defensive part of a portfolio \u2013 they are there to provide a steady return with low levels of volatility.\u00a0 You are defeating the defensive purpose of these investments if you layer on currency exposure, and potentially ramping up the volatility significantly. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"font-family: Calibri;\"><span style=\"color: #000000;\">For international shares and property, I prefer unhedged investments.\u00a0 For a start, you save on the cost of the hedging.\u00a0 Also, in my experience, falls in overseas markets often go hand in hand with a fall in the New Zealand dollar \u2013 which helps to offset the negative investment returns.\u00a0 Likewise nasty unexpected geo political events often can see a flight to safe haven currencies (like the US dollar) and a fall in the New Zealand dollar.\u00a0 These movements help the value of your international assets in New Zealand dollar terms.\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">But the currency factor can, and at times will, go against you.\u00a0 But overall I\u2019m comfortable with accepting a currency risk in the growth area of a portfolio (shares and property). <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">Finally, when you are looking at NZ$ returns from international investment assets, its always worth asking what proportion of the returns are due to investment performance, and what proportion are due to currency movements (I split this out in performance reports for my managed clients). <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span lang=\"EN-AU\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: Calibri;\">Dean Edwards<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>That is the question. What am I talking about?\u00a0 I\u2019m talking about whether or not the offshore investment assets you hold should be insured (or hedged) against a rise in the value of the New Zealand dollar.\u00a0 Your hedging strategy&hellip; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-320","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"aioseo_notices":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/320","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=320"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/320\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":324,"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/320\/revisions\/324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=320"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=320"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nestegginvestments.co.nz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=320"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}